Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000665 0.000760 0.000861 0.000976 0.001103 0.001238 0.001393
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000505 0.000635 0.000783 0.000962 0.001173 0.001411 0.001698
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000413 0.000555 0.000724 0.000939 0.001202 0.001510 0.001894
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000355 0.000506 0.000694 0.000942 0.001255 0.001633 0.002118
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000314 0.000471 0.000675 0.000952 0.001312 0.001758 0.002343
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000267 0.000423 0.000633 0.000928 0.001323 0.001822 0.002491
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000228 0.000380 0.000593 0.000901 0.001324 0.001872 0.002620
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000202 0.000354 0.000573 0.000899 0.001356 0.001959 0.002798
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000181 0.000331 0.000555 0.000897 0.001387 0.002046 0.002976
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000159 0.000306 0.000532 0.000885 0.001403 0.002111 0.003124
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000139 0.000281 0.000506 0.000867 0.001408 0.002159 0.003250
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000130 0.000273 0.000505 0.000887 0.001466 0.002282 0.003481
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000120 0.000263 0.000502 0.000902 0.001521 0.002404 0.003715
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000105 0.000242 0.000479 0.000886 0.001527 0.002455 0.003852
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000091 0.000222 0.000455 0.000865 0.001524 0.002494 0.003970
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000083 0.000211 0.000446 0.000867 0.001556 0.002583 0.004162
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000076 0.000202 0.000441 0.000877 0.001600 0.002689 0.004381
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.000185 0.000418 0.000855 0.001592 0.002718 0.004487
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000169 0.000395 0.000829 0.001577 0.002735 0.004574
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000159 0.000385 0.000827 0.001599 0.002808 0.004747
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000151 0.000376 0.000825 0.001622 0.002884 0.004924
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000041 0.000141 0.000362 0.000815 0.001628 0.002933 0.005062
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000036 0.000130 0.000346 0.000798 0.001624 0.002964 0.005171